Russian President Vladimir Putin holds a meeting with the Cabinet at the Novo-Ogaryovo residence outside Moscow, Russia, Friday, Feb. 17, 2017. (Mikhail Klimentyev, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP)
FEB 22, 2017 @ 07:00 PM
GUEST POST WRITTEN BY George Friedman
Geopolitical Futures forecasted that 2017 will be “an inflection point in the long-term destabilization of Russia.” After just six weeks, there are clear signs that this forecast is right on track. You can read more about GPF’s outlook for Russia in This Week in Geopolitics.
Russia has four areas of instability: the distribution and prevalence of wage arrears, pressure on its banking system, low-level social and economic unrest, and government purges.
The map below shows these developments.
Source: Geopolitical Futures
The bottom part of the Russia map shows wage arrears by region. “Wage arrears” is a fancy term for workers not being paid. In December 2016…
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